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Definitive Analysis

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UNISEM Co., Ltd. (036200.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,266.49 - $4,915.10$4,045.92
Multi-Stage$6,377.83 - $7,022.54$6,693.85
Blended Fair Value$5,369.89
Current Price$6,120.00
Upside-12.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.92%0.00%80.08100.10120.1180.0850.0560.0660.0640.5430.410.00
YoY Growth---20.00%-16.67%50.00%60.00%-16.67%0.00%48.13%33.33%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.29%1.09%1.32%0.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,342.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,353.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,989.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,268.561,417.85850.71
Cash Retained (M)8,989.518,989.518,989.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,268.56-1,417.85-850.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,720.957,571.668,138.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)29.3929.3929.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share228.70257.64276.94
LTM Dividend per Share80.0880.0880.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share228.70257.64276.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend308.77337.72357.02
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3,266.49$4,045.92$4,915.10
Upside / Downside-46.63%-33.89%-19.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,342.7911,229.3711,117.0711,005.9010,895.8410,786.8811,110.49
Payout Ratio20.75%34.60%48.45%62.30%76.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,353.283,885.095,386.026,856.548,297.129,708.1910,277.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3,585.413,622.003,658.58
Year 2 PV (M)4,587.164,681.254,776.30
Year 3 PV (M)5,389.145,555.805,725.86
Year 4 PV (M)6,018.386,267.816,524.92
Year 5 PV (M)6,498.736,837.147,189.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)161,352.87169,754.89178,503.33
Equity Value (M)187,431.69196,718.88206,378.49
Shares Outstanding (M)29.3929.3929.39
Fair Value$6,377.83$6,693.85$7,022.54
Upside / Downside4.21%9.38%14.75%

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