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Definitive Analysis

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DUAL Co., Ltd. (016740.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39,460.39 - $138,488.67$129,779.02
Multi-Stage$19,577.47 - $21,450.30$20,496.55
Blended Fair Value$75,137.79
Current Price$3,280.00
Upside2,190.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.05%0.00%120.9986.0186.0186.0186.0786.0786.2472.950.000.00
YoY Growth--40.67%0.00%0.00%-0.07%0.00%-0.20%18.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.01%2.26%2.87%2.23%1.68%3.89%2.49%1.58%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21,118.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,581.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)17,537.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,223.802,639.871,583.92
Cash Retained (M)17,537.5617,537.5617,537.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,223.80-2,639.87-1,583.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)13,313.7614,897.6915,953.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.2030.2030.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share440.85493.30528.26
LTM Dividend per Share118.59118.59118.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share440.85493.30528.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend559.44611.89646.85
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.05%6.05%7.05%
Fair Value$39,460.39$129,779.02$138,488.67
Upside / Downside1,103.06%3,856.68%4,122.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21,118.9922,396.3423,750.9425,187.4726,710.8928,326.4529,176.24
Payout Ratio16.96%31.57%46.18%60.78%75.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,581.437,069.7810,967.0015,309.7820,137.7825,493.8026,988.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.05%6.05%7.05%
Year 1 PV (M)6,573.376,635.956,698.52
Year 2 PV (M)9,480.969,662.339,845.41
Year 3 PV (M)12,305.9812,660.7713,022.32
Year 4 PV (M)15,050.1615,631.4716,229.46
Year 5 PV (M)17,715.2218,574.6219,467.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)530,118.79555,835.92582,541.57
Equity Value (M)591,244.48619,001.06647,804.34
Shares Outstanding (M)30.2030.2030.20
Fair Value$19,577.47$20,496.55$21,450.30
Upside / Downside496.87%524.89%553.97%

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