Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dongjin Semichem Co., Ltd. (005290.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$105,715.72 - $453,896.28$258,698.36
Multi-Stage$52,362.37 - $57,335.14$54,803.04
Blended Fair Value$156,750.70
Current Price$32,700.00
Upside379.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.88%9.48%122.12132.19112.09101.5390.6091.7791.3755.7254.9349.39
YoY Growth---7.62%17.93%10.41%12.05%-1.27%0.44%63.96%1.44%11.23%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.42%0.26%0.34%0.26%0.28%0.69%0.87%0.38%0.59%0.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)116,562.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,350.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)106,211.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23,312.4114,570.268,742.15
Cash Retained (M)106,211.93106,211.93106,211.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-23,312.41-14,570.26-8,742.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)82,899.5291,641.6897,469.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)51.0751.0751.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,623.201,794.371,908.49
LTM Dividend per Share202.66202.66202.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,623.201,794.371,908.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,825.861,997.032,111.15
WACC / Discount Rate7.32%7.32%7.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$105,715.72$258,698.36$453,896.28
Upside / Downside223.29%691.13%1,288.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)116,562.05124,138.58132,207.59140,801.08149,953.15159,700.11164,491.11
Payout Ratio8.88%25.10%41.33%57.55%73.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,350.1231,163.2454,638.3581,033.55110,629.28143,730.10152,154.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.32%7.32%7.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)28,764.4629,037.1129,309.76
Year 2 PV (M)46,550.5447,437.1948,332.22
Year 3 PV (M)63,724.3765,553.6767,417.65
Year 4 PV (M)80,301.6383,389.8186,566.21
Year 5 PV (M)96,297.62100,948.83105,778.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,358,599.502,472,520.742,590,802.01
Equity Value (M)2,674,238.122,798,887.352,928,205.89
Shares Outstanding (M)51.0751.0751.07
Fair Value$52,362.37$54,803.04$57,335.14
Upside / Downside60.13%67.59%75.34%

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