DDM Analysis: 002991.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$290.05 - $553.48	$518.69
Multi-Stage	$87.99 - $96.24	$92.04
Blended Fair Value	$305.37
Current Price	$54.66
Upside	458.66%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	33.50%	0.00%	3.24	1.09	1.11	0.76	1.09	0.76	0.65	0.01	0.02	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	196.73%	-1.31%	44.97%	-29.91%	42.49%	16.67%	9,895.00%	-58.11%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.44%	1.23%	1.20%	1.40%	1.32%	1.37%	1.17%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	255.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	166.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)	88.52

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	51.03	31.89	19.14
Cash Retained (M)	88.52	88.52	88.52
(-) Cash Required (M)	-51.03	-31.89	-19.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)	37.49	56.62	69.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	91.68	91.68	91.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.41	0.62	0.76
LTM Dividend per Share	1.82	1.82	1.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.41	0.62	0.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.23	2.44	2.57
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$290.05	$518.69	$553.48
Upside / Downside	430.64%	848.94%	912.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	255.14	271.72	289.38	308.19	328.23	349.56	360.05
Payout Ratio	65.31%	70.25%	75.18%	80.12%	85.06%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	166.62	190.87	217.57	246.93	279.19	314.60	333.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	177.86	179.54	181.23
Year 2 PV (M)	188.91	192.51	196.14
Year 3 PV (M)	199.79	205.52	211.37
Year 4 PV (M)	210.49	218.58	226.91
Year 5 PV (M)	221.01	231.68	242.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,068.75	7,410.17	7,764.66
Equity Value (M)	8,066.80	8,438.01	8,823.07
Shares Outstanding (M)	91.68	91.68	91.68
Fair Value	$87.99	$92.04	$96.24
Upside / Downside	60.98%	68.39%	76.07%

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Ganyuan Foods Co., Ltd. (002991.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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