DDM Analysis: 002905.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.56 - $0.78	$0.67
Multi-Stage	$2.97 - $3.30	$3.13
Blended Fair Value	$1.90
Current Price	$10.60
Upside	-82.10%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-29.00%	-5.45%	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.05	0.21	0.29	0.19	0.04	0.11
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.21%	-0.59%	-14.22%	-17.23%	-74.39%	-26.30%	51.73%	359.39%	-63.27%	67.67%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.50%	0.44%	0.43%	0.61%	0.60%	2.11%	2.11%	1.15%	0.32%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	36.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	9.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)	26.98

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	7.32	4.57	2.74
Cash Retained (M)	26.98	26.98	26.98
(-) Cash Required (M)	-7.32	-4.57	-2.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)	19.66	22.40	24.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	378.25	378.25	378.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.05	0.06	0.06
LTM Dividend per Share	0.03	0.03	0.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.05	0.06	0.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.08	0.08	0.09
WACC / Discount Rate	4.74%	4.74%	4.74%
Growth Rate	-8.07%	-7.07%	-6.07%
Fair Value	$0.56	$0.67	$0.78
Upside / Downside	-94.76%	-93.71%	-92.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	36.59	34.00	31.60	29.37	27.29	25.36	26.12
Payout Ratio	26.27%	39.01%	51.76%	64.51%	77.25%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	9.61	13.27	16.36	18.94	21.08	22.83	24.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.74%	4.74%	4.74%
Growth Rate	-8.07%	-7.07%	-6.07%
Year 1 PV (M)	12.53	12.67	12.80
Year 2 PV (M)	14.59	14.91	15.23
Year 3 PV (M)	15.96	16.49	17.03
Year 4 PV (M)	16.78	17.52	18.29
Year 5 PV (M)	17.16	18.11	19.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,045.73	1,103.86	1,164.54
Equity Value (M)	1,122.75	1,183.55	1,246.99
Shares Outstanding (M)	378.25	378.25	378.25
Fair Value	$2.97	$3.13	$3.30
Upside / Downside	-72.00%	-70.48%	-68.90%

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WLFC	Willis Lease Finance Corporation	0.99%	$1.32	7.58%
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RRX	Regal Rexnord Corporation	0.95%	$1.39	36.07%
WT	WisdomTree, Inc.	0.95%	$0.12	18.12%
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SSBK	Southern States Bancshares, Inc.	0.93%	$0.34	9.19%
DAL	Delta Air Lines, Inc.	0.92%	$0.63	8.94%
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Guangzhou Jinyi Media Corporation (002905.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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