DDM Analysis: 002895.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$217.47 - $437.85	$410.33
Multi-Stage	$68.33 - $74.75	$71.48
Blended Fair Value	$240.91
Current Price	$29.26
Upside	723.33%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	35.74%	9.85%	1.14	0.83	0.34	0.07	0.25	0.25	0.13	0.15	0.18	0.11
YoY Growth	-	-	36.61%	148.34%	396.10%	-72.66%	0.17%	92.76%	-13.29%	-17.29%	63.68%	-75.47%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.81%	4.41%	1.28%	0.32%	2.28%	2.27%	0.90%	0.62%	1.76%	1.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,248.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	720.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)	528.32

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	249.77	156.11	93.66
Cash Retained (M)	528.32	528.32	528.32
(-) Cash Required (M)	-249.77	-156.11	-93.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)	278.55	372.21	434.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	567.24	567.24	567.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.49	0.66	0.77
LTM Dividend per Share	1.27	1.27	1.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.49	0.66	0.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.76	1.93	2.04
WACC / Discount Rate	6.35%	6.35%	6.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$217.47	$410.33	$437.85
Upside / Downside	643.25%	1,302.35%	1,396.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,248.86	1,330.03	1,416.49	1,508.56	1,606.61	1,711.04	1,762.37
Payout Ratio	57.70%	64.16%	70.62%	77.08%	83.54%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	720.54	853.30	1,000.28	1,162.77	1,342.15	1,539.94	1,630.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.35%	6.35%	6.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	794.79	802.32	809.85
Year 2 PV (M)	867.80	884.33	901.01
Year 3 PV (M)	939.58	966.55	994.04
Year 4 PV (M)	1,010.16	1,049.01	1,088.97
Year 5 PV (M)	1,079.54	1,131.68	1,185.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)	34,068.78	35,714.32	37,422.83
Equity Value (M)	38,760.65	40,548.21	42,402.52
Shares Outstanding (M)	567.24	567.24	567.24
Fair Value	$68.33	$71.48	$74.75
Upside / Downside	133.53%	144.30%	155.47%

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Guizhou Chanhen Chemical Corporation (002895.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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