DDM Analysis: 002558.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$9.04 - $13.63	$11.21
Multi-Stage	$11.66 - $12.78	$12.21
Blended Fair Value	$11.71
Current Price	$45.18
Upside	-74.08%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	4.20%	52.99%	0.24	0.32	0.18	0.18	0.15	0.20	0.24	0.20	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-24.19%	79.20%	-1.56%	21.99%	-24.71%	-16.11%	19.52%	313,062.81%	145.92%	-99.26%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.73%	2.58%	1.36%	1.80%	1.03%	1.19%	1.04%	0.62%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,770.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	256.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,514.77

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	354.18	221.36	132.82
Cash Retained (M)	1,514.77	1,514.77	1,514.77
(-) Cash Required (M)	-354.18	-221.36	-132.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,160.58	1,293.40	1,381.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,718.80	1,718.80	1,718.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.68	0.75	0.80
LTM Dividend per Share	0.15	0.15	0.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.68	0.75	0.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.82	0.90	0.95
WACC / Discount Rate	9.77%	9.77%	9.77%
Growth Rate	0.59%	1.59%	2.59%
Fair Value	$9.04	$11.21	$13.63
Upside / Downside	-79.99%	-75.20%	-69.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,770.92	1,799.16	1,827.86	1,857.01	1,886.63	1,916.73	1,974.23
Payout Ratio	14.46%	29.57%	44.68%	59.79%	74.89%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	256.15	532.04	816.66	1,110.23	1,412.95	1,725.05	1,826.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.77%	9.77%	9.77%
Growth Rate	0.59%	1.59%	2.59%
Year 1 PV (M)	479.92	484.69	489.46
Year 2 PV (M)	664.50	677.78	691.19
Year 3 PV (M)	814.88	839.42	864.46
Year 4 PV (M)	935.48	973.24	1,012.13
Year 5 PV (M)	1,030.23	1,082.47	1,136.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)	16,113.37	16,930.35	17,780.15
Equity Value (M)	20,038.39	20,987.96	21,974.18
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,718.80	1,718.80	1,718.80
Fair Value	$11.66	$12.21	$12.78
Upside / Downside	-74.20%	-72.97%	-71.70%

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LISOX	Lazard International Strategic Equity Ptf Open Shares	0.99%	$0.13	36.87%
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NIC	Nicolet Bankshares, Inc.	0.99%	$1.19	12.58%
PAYC	Paycom Software, Inc.	0.99%	$1.51	18.80%
RRC	Range Resources Corporation	0.99%	$0.35	14.60%
WLFC	Willis Lease Finance Corporation	0.99%	$1.32	7.58%
WOR	Worthington Industries, Inc.	0.99%	$0.52	23.95%
CNXN	PC Connection, Inc.	0.98%	$0.56	16.89%
CAT	Caterpillar Inc.	0.97%	$5.78	29.40%
CNK	Cinemark Holdings, Inc.	0.97%	$0.23	18.28%
ECL	Ecolab Inc.	0.97%	$2.54	36.57%
EVR	Evercore Inc.	0.97%	$3.41	27.02%
LSBK	Lake Shore Bancorp, Inc.	0.96%	$0.14	24.34%
0ITL.L	Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.	0.95%	$2.42	39.43%
0IZI.L	W.W. Grainger, Inc.	0.95%	$9.52	26.47%
0L5V.L	The Sherwin-Williams Company	0.95%	$3.11	30.09%
0R2S.L	Stryker Corporation	0.95%	$3.28	43.09%
RRX	Regal Rexnord Corporation	0.95%	$1.39	36.07%
WT	WisdomTree, Inc.	0.95%	$0.12	18.12%
J	Jacobs Solutions Inc.	0.94%	$1.27	53.80%
ORCL	Oracle Corporation	0.94%	$1.84	34.81%
TCBS	Texas Community Bancshares, Inc.	0.94%	$0.17	19.22%
IMKTA	Ingles Markets, Incorporated	0.93%	$0.65	14.68%
ODC	Oil-Dri Corporation of America	0.93%	$0.45	12.28%
PENG	Penguin Solutions, Inc.	0.93%	$0.19	40.17%
SSBK	Southern States Bancshares, Inc.	0.93%	$0.34	9.19%
DAL	Delta Air Lines, Inc.	0.92%	$0.63	8.94%
HIFS	Hingham Institution for Savings	0.92%	$2.49	12.15%
RL	Ralph Lauren Corporation	0.92%	$3.34	24.37%
OPY	Oppenheimer Holdings Inc.	0.91%	$0.66	8.90%
BGC	BGC Group, Inc	0.90%	$0.08	23.56%
CDRE	Cadre Holdings, Inc.	0.90%	$0.37	33.35%
MBNKP	Medallion Bank	0.90%	$0.23	12.50%
JBHT	J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.	0.89%	$1.75	30.14%
NYT	The New York Times Company	0.89%	$0.62	30.32%
RMD	ResMed Inc.	0.89%	$2.18	22.31%
VBFC	Village Bank and Trust Financial Corp.	0.89%	$0.72	15.35%
0I14.L	Cognex Corporation	0.88%	$0.32	49.16%
AR	Antero Resources Corporation	0.88%	$0.30	17.15%
LDOS	Leidos Holdings, Inc.	0.88%	$1.61	14.88%
LMAT	LeMaitre Vascular, Inc.	0.88%	$0.70	32.20%
NNI	Nelnet, Inc.	0.88%	$1.14	9.52%
PFSI	PennyMac Financial Services, Inc.	0.88%	$1.16	12.49%
SMBK	SmartFinancial, Inc.	0.88%	$0.32	11.76%
BYD	Boyd Gaming Corporation	0.87%	$0.75	3.22%
ROST	Ross Stores, Inc.	0.87%	$1.59	24.85%
BBSI	Barrett Business Services, Inc.	0.86%	$0.31	15.02%
BCO	The Brink's Company	0.86%	$1.00	24.81%
HXL	Hexcel Corporation	0.86%	$0.66	77.18%

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Giant Network Group Co., Ltd. (002558.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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