Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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NET263 Ltd. (002467.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.35 - $0.50$0.42
Multi-Stage$0.52 - $0.57$0.54
Blended Fair Value$0.48
Current Price$6.36
Upside-92.40%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.150.000.140.050.050.000.000.020.06
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%-100.00%201.07%-14.51%22,385.59%-34.69%-98.30%-63.29%-10.06%
Dividend Yield--0.00%3.70%0.00%2.92%0.82%0.84%0.01%0.01%0.37%0.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)79.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)66.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.979.985.99
Cash Retained (M)66.1166.1166.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.97-9.98-5.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)50.1356.1260.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,490.971,490.971,490.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.040.050.05
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.35$0.42$0.50
Upside / Downside-94.50%-93.37%-92.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)79.8679.0678.2777.4976.7175.9578.22
Payout Ratio17.22%31.78%46.33%60.89%75.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.7525.1236.2747.1857.8868.3572.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)22.6122.8423.07
Year 2 PV (M)29.3729.9730.58
Year 3 PV (M)34.3935.4536.54
Year 4 PV (M)37.9639.5341.16
Year 5 PV (M)40.3542.4544.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)610.43642.21675.31
Equity Value (M)775.10812.46851.29
Shares Outstanding (M)1,490.971,490.971,490.97
Fair Value$0.52$0.54$0.57
Upside / Downside-91.83%-91.43%-91.02%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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