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Definitive Analysis

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Jiangsu Yoke Technology Co., Ltd. (002409.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$216.78 - $384.00$359.87
Multi-Stage$60.62 - $66.39$63.45
Blended Fair Value$211.66
Current Price$73.75
Upside187.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS54.11%32.81%0.860.420.270.210.140.100.010.030.060.05
YoY Growth--105.99%55.34%25.97%50.42%43.37%839.19%-58.54%-56.56%25.38%-7.40%
Dividend Yield--1.40%0.75%0.52%0.42%0.26%0.32%0.06%0.10%0.26%0.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)918.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)226.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)692.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)183.79114.8768.92
Cash Retained (M)692.64692.64692.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-183.79-114.87-68.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)508.85577.77623.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)475.92475.92475.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.071.211.31
LTM Dividend per Share0.480.480.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.071.211.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.541.691.79
WACC / Discount Rate6.25%6.25%6.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$216.78$359.87$384.00
Upside / Downside193.93%387.95%420.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)918.94978.671,042.291,110.041,182.191,259.031,296.80
Payout Ratio24.63%37.70%50.78%63.85%76.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)226.30368.97529.23708.77909.401,133.131,199.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.25%6.25%6.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)344.00347.26350.52
Year 2 PV (M)460.02468.79477.63
Year 3 PV (M)574.38590.87607.67
Year 4 PV (M)687.11713.53740.71
Year 5 PV (M)798.20836.75876.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,985.3727,240.4728,543.61
Equity Value (M)28,849.0830,197.6731,596.93
Shares Outstanding (M)475.92475.92475.92
Fair Value$60.62$63.45$66.39
Upside / Downside-17.81%-13.96%-9.98%

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