DDM Analysis: 001288.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$161.85 - $190.69	$178.71
Multi-Stage	$110.48 - $121.25	$115.77
Blended Fair Value	$147.24
Current Price	$25.70
Upside	472.90%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	23.61%	0.00%	0.23	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	0.08	0.09	0.05	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	173.11%	-3.39%	1,053.60%	0.00%	-100.00%	-7.23%	72.09%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.08%	0.53%	0.79%	0.07%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	180.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	52.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)	127.86

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	36.07	22.55	13.53
Cash Retained (M)	127.86	127.86	127.86
(-) Cash Required (M)	-36.07	-22.55	-13.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)	91.79	105.32	114.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	188.10	188.10	188.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.49	0.56	0.61
LTM Dividend per Share	0.28	0.28	0.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.49	0.56	0.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.77	0.84	0.89
WACC / Discount Rate	2.22%	2.22%	2.22%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$161.85	$178.71	$190.69
Upside / Downside	529.78%	595.35%	641.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	180.36	192.08	204.57	217.87	232.03	247.11	254.52
Payout Ratio	29.11%	41.29%	53.46%	65.64%	77.82%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	52.50	79.30	109.37	143.01	180.57	222.40	235.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	2.22%	2.22%	2.22%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	76.85	77.58	78.31
Year 2 PV (M)	102.72	104.67	106.65
Year 3 PV (M)	130.16	133.90	137.70
Year 4 PV (M)	159.26	165.38	171.68
Year 5 PV (M)	190.09	199.27	208.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)	20,123.11	21,095.06	22,104.22
Equity Value (M)	20,782.19	21,775.87	22,807.36
Shares Outstanding (M)	188.10	188.10	188.10
Fair Value	$110.48	$115.77	$121.25
Upside / Downside	329.90%	350.46%	371.79%

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Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co., Ltd. (001288.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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