DDM Analysis: 000722.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.83 - $1.13	$0.98
Multi-Stage	$1.44 - $1.58	$1.51
Blended Fair Value	$1.25
Current Price	$12.13
Upside	-89.73%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-4.53%	-4.09%	0.05	0.00	0.11	0.12	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.04
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	-8.02%	74.13%	-0.83%	-0.66%	29.54%	195.31%	-57.44%	-48.66%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.49%	0.00%	0.86%	1.30%	0.93%	1.18%	0.74%	0.59%	0.11%	0.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	70.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	26.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)	43.83

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	14.08	8.80	5.28
Cash Retained (M)	43.83	43.83	43.83
(-) Cash Required (M)	-14.08	-8.80	-5.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)	29.74	35.03	38.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	444.34	444.34	444.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.08	0.09
LTM Dividend per Share	0.06	0.06	0.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.08	0.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.13	0.14	0.15
WACC / Discount Rate	9.81%	9.81%	9.81%
Growth Rate	-4.75%	-3.75%	-2.75%
Fair Value	$0.83	$0.98	$1.13
Upside / Downside	-93.16%	-91.89%	-90.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	70.42	67.78	65.24	62.79	60.44	58.17	59.92
Payout Ratio	37.76%	48.21%	58.66%	69.10%	79.55%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	26.59	32.67	38.27	43.39	48.08	52.35	55.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.81%	9.81%	9.81%
Growth Rate	-4.75%	-3.75%	-2.75%
Year 1 PV (M)	29.45	29.75	30.06
Year 2 PV (M)	31.08	31.73	32.39
Year 3 PV (M)	31.76	32.77	33.80
Year 4 PV (M)	31.71	33.06	34.46
Year 5 PV (M)	31.12	32.79	34.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)	483.50	509.42	536.44
Equity Value (M)	638.60	669.52	701.68
Shares Outstanding (M)	444.34	444.34	444.34
Fair Value	$1.44	$1.51	$1.58
Upside / Downside	-88.15%	-87.58%	-86.98%

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Hunan Development Group Co.,Ltd (000722.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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