Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sino-Thai Engineering and Construction Public Company Limited (STEC-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.80 - $2.98$2.32
Multi-Stage$3.72 - $4.09$3.90
Blended Fair Value$3.11
Current Price$9.20
Upside-66.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%28.37%0.300.250.300.300.500.000.220.330.400.50
YoY Growth--19.99%-16.66%-0.01%-40.00%0.00%-100.00%-33.31%-17.53%-20.00%1,924.63%
Dividend Yield--2.94%1.98%2.24%1.90%4.39%0.00%1.15%1.37%1.76%2.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)240.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)228.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)11.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)48.0430.0318.02
Cash Retained (M)11.4411.4411.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-48.04-30.03-18.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)-36.60-18.59-6.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,525.111,525.111,525.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.02-0.010.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.02-0.010.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.140.15
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-0.55%0.45%1.45%
Fair Value$1.80$2.32$2.98
Upside / Downside-80.45%-74.78%-67.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)240.20241.29242.39243.49244.59245.70253.07
Payout Ratio95.24%94.19%93.14%92.10%91.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)228.77227.28225.77224.24222.69221.13234.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-0.55%0.45%1.45%
Year 1 PV (M)211.44213.56215.69
Year 2 PV (M)195.40199.35203.34
Year 3 PV (M)180.55186.05191.67
Year 4 PV (M)166.81173.63180.64
Year 5 PV (M)154.10162.01170.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,769.695,014.365,268.96
Equity Value (M)5,678.005,948.956,230.53
Shares Outstanding (M)1,525.111,525.111,525.11
Fair Value$3.72$3.90$4.09
Upside / Downside-59.53%-57.60%-55.59%

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