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Definitive Analysis

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S P V I Public Company Limited (SPVI.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.21 - $42.18$39.53
Multi-Stage$6.35 - $6.95$6.64
Blended Fair Value$23.09
Current Price$2.34
Upside886.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.29%24.43%0.140.170.170.110.100.060.040.010.020.02
YoY Growth---17.12%0.03%59.01%9.99%66.59%50.16%233.52%-39.97%0.30%22.10%
Dividend Yield--10.58%5.72%3.36%1.69%1.77%3.97%3.03%0.88%2.66%2.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)84.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)52.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.9710.616.36
Cash Retained (M)52.8852.8852.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.97-10.61-6.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)35.9142.2846.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)400.00400.00400.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.190.20
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$19.21$39.53$42.18
Upside / Downside720.83%1,589.36%1,702.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)84.8490.3696.23102.48109.15116.24119.73
Payout Ratio37.67%48.14%58.60%69.07%79.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31.9643.4956.3970.7886.81104.62110.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)40.4840.8741.25
Year 2 PV (M)48.8549.7850.72
Year 3 PV (M)57.0758.7160.38
Year 4 PV (M)65.1567.6570.23
Year 5 PV (M)73.0776.6080.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,253.932,362.792,475.82
Equity Value (M)2,538.552,656.402,778.67
Shares Outstanding (M)400.00400.00400.00
Fair Value$6.35$6.64$6.95
Upside / Downside171.21%183.80%196.87%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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