DDM Analysis: SCNP.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$32.79 - $50.67	$41.09
Multi-Stage	$241.38 - $268.28	$254.54
Blended Fair Value	$147.82
Current Price	$153.00
Upside	-3.39%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	-34.02%	0.00%	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	4.00	2.80	2.80	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	42.86%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.31%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	2.70%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	9,431.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3,750.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5,681.83

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,886.37	1,178.98	707.39
Cash Retained (M)	5,681.83	5,681.83	5,681.83
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,886.37	-1,178.98	-707.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)	3,795.47	4,502.85	4,974.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,500.00	2,500.00	2,500.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.52	1.80	1.99
LTM Dividend per Share	1.50	1.50	1.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.52	1.80	1.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.02	3.30	3.49
WACC / Discount Rate	0.72%	0.72%	0.72%
Growth Rate	-7.77%	-6.77%	-5.77%
Fair Value	$32.79	$41.09	$50.67
Upside / Downside	-78.57%	-73.14%	-66.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	9,431.83	8,793.30	8,197.99	7,642.99	7,125.56	6,643.16	6,842.45
Payout Ratio	39.76%	49.81%	59.86%	69.90%	79.95%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3,750.00	4,379.69	4,906.94	5,342.72	5,697.01	5,978.84	6,329.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	0.72%	0.72%	0.72%
Growth Rate	-7.77%	-6.77%	-5.77%
Year 1 PV (M)	4,301.77	4,348.41	4,395.05
Year 2 PV (M)	4,733.87	4,837.08	4,941.41
Year 3 PV (M)	5,062.58	5,229.04	5,399.12
Year 4 PV (M)	5,302.24	5,535.96	5,777.33
Year 5 PV (M)	5,465.53	5,768.32	6,084.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)	578,586.81	610,640.92	644,100.21
Equity Value (M)	603,452.79	636,359.74	670,697.49
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,500.00	2,500.00	2,500.00
Fair Value	$241.38	$254.54	$268.28
Upside / Downside	57.77%	66.37%	75.35%

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PT Selaras Citra Nusantara Perkasa Tbk (SCNP.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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