DDM Analysis: RSGK.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$236.28 - $334.52	$284.80
Multi-Stage	$358.46 - $393.24	$375.52
Blended Fair Value	$330.16
Current Price	$980.00
Upside	-66.31%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	11.00	96.00	86.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	5.38	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-88.54%	11.63%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.12%	8.35%	7.75%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	33,621.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	10,226.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)	23,394.89

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	6,724.26	4,202.66	2,521.60
Cash Retained (M)	23,394.89	23,394.89	23,394.89
(-) Cash Required (M)	-6,724.26	-4,202.66	-2,521.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)	16,670.63	19,192.23	20,873.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	929.68	929.68	929.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share	17.93	20.64	22.45
LTM Dividend per Share	11.00	11.00	11.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	17.93	20.64	22.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend	28.93	31.64	33.45
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$236.28	$284.80	$334.52
Upside / Downside	-75.89%	-70.94%	-65.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	33,621.32	33,285.10	32,952.25	32,622.73	32,296.50	31,973.54	32,932.74
Payout Ratio	30.42%	42.33%	54.25%	66.17%	78.08%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	10,226.43	14,090.65	17,876.56	21,585.35	25,218.17	28,776.18	30,462.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	12,680.29	12,809.68	12,939.07
Year 2 PV (M)	14,477.06	14,774.02	15,073.99
Year 3 PV (M)	15,730.90	16,217.39	16,713.81
Year 4 PV (M)	16,538.89	17,224.35	17,930.90
Year 5 PV (M)	16,983.38	17,867.75	18,788.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)	256,839.96	270,214.21	284,139.89
Equity Value (M)	333,250.49	349,107.40	365,586.24
Shares Outstanding (M)	929.68	929.68	929.68
Fair Value	$358.46	$375.52	$393.24
Upside / Downside	-63.42%	-61.68%	-59.87%

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PT Kedoya Adyaraya Tbk (RSGK.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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