Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Quercus TFI S.A. (QRS.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.30 - $17.85$14.29
Multi-Stage$12.58 - $13.79$13.17
Blended Fair Value$13.73
Current Price$10.85
Upside26.58%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.020.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--56.88%59.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.16%0.14%0.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)55.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)54.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.106.944.16
Cash Retained (M)54.3954.3954.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.10-6.94-4.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.2947.4550.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)50.8050.8050.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.850.930.99
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.850.930.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.870.961.01
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate2.08%3.08%4.08%
Fair Value$11.30$14.29$17.85
Upside / Downside4.18%31.75%64.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)55.5257.2358.9960.8162.6864.6166.55
Payout Ratio2.03%19.62%37.22%54.81%72.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.1311.2321.9633.3345.3858.1561.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate2.08%3.08%4.08%
Year 1 PV (M)10.1110.2110.31
Year 2 PV (M)17.8018.1518.51
Year 3 PV (M)24.3425.0625.79
Year 4 PV (M)29.8431.0332.25
Year 5 PV (M)34.4336.1537.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)522.51548.61575.74
Equity Value (M)639.03669.21700.54
Shares Outstanding (M)50.8050.8050.80
Fair Value$12.58$13.17$13.79
Upside / Downside15.93%21.40%27.09%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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