DDM Analysis: PTMP.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$34.50 - $53.15	$43.17
Multi-Stage	$79.05 - $86.88	$82.89
Blended Fair Value	$63.03
Current Price	$95.00
Upside	-33.65%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	10,916.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	8,430.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,486.47

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2,183.31	1,364.57	818.74
Cash Retained (M)	2,486.47	2,486.47	2,486.47
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2,183.31	-1,364.57	-818.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)	303.16	1,121.90	1,667.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,905.15	2,905.15	2,905.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.39	0.57
LTM Dividend per Share	2.90	2.90	2.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.39	0.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.01	3.29	3.48
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$34.50	$43.17	$53.15
Upside / Downside	-63.69%	-54.55%	-44.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	10,916.54	10,807.38	10,699.30	10,592.31	10,486.39	10,381.52	10,692.97
Payout Ratio	77.22%	79.78%	82.33%	84.89%	87.44%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	8,430.07	8,621.95	8,809.14	8,991.72	9,169.78	9,343.37	9,891.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	8,010.99	8,092.73	8,174.48
Year 2 PV (M)	7,604.92	7,760.92	7,918.50
Year 3 PV (M)	7,212.49	7,435.54	7,663.15
Year 4 PV (M)	6,834.11	7,117.35	7,409.31
Year 5 PV (M)	6,470.05	6,806.96	7,157.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)	193,516.62	203,593.48	214,085.82
Equity Value (M)	229,649.18	240,806.98	252,409.00
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,905.15	2,905.15	2,905.15
Fair Value	$79.05	$82.89	$86.88
Upside / Downside	-16.79%	-12.75%	-8.54%

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PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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