Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

PT Jayamas Medica Industri Tbk (OMED.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$89.68 - $130.11$109.30
Multi-Stage$149.24 - $164.04$156.49
Blended Fair Value$132.89
Current Price$176.00
Upside-24.49%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%2.883.179.249.420.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---9.15%-65.69%-1.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.83%1.61%4.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)331,455.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)77,929.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)253,526.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)66,291.1941,431.9924,859.19
Cash Retained (M)253,526.44253,526.44253,526.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-66,291.19-41,431.99-24,859.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)187,235.26212,094.45228,667.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27,058.8527,058.8527,058.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.927.848.45
LTM Dividend per Share2.882.882.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.927.848.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.8010.7211.33
WACC / Discount Rate8.71%8.71%8.71%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$89.68$109.30$130.11
Upside / Downside-49.04%-37.90%-26.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)331,455.93328,141.37324,859.96321,611.36318,395.25315,211.29324,667.63
Payout Ratio23.51%36.81%50.11%63.40%76.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)77,929.49120,785.60162,776.80203,916.10244,216.33283,690.16300,317.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.71%8.71%8.71%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)109,987.21111,109.52112,231.84
Year 2 PV (M)134,972.88137,741.48140,538.19
Year 3 PV (M)153,968.73158,730.31163,589.07
Year 4 PV (M)167,912.38174,871.56182,044.85
Year 5 PV (M)177,614.86186,863.68196,493.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,293,719.353,465,230.963,643,814.11
Equity Value (M)4,038,175.394,234,547.514,438,711.89
Shares Outstanding (M)27,058.8527,058.8527,058.85
Fair Value$149.24$156.49$164.04
Upside / Downside-15.21%-11.08%-6.80%

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