DDM Analysis: IFSH.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$234.53 - $353.31	$290.64
Multi-Stage	$475.36 - $522.51	$498.48
Blended Fair Value	$394.56
Current Price	$790.00
Upside	-50.06%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	66.28%	0.00%	31.40	27.94	26.44	8.84	0.00	2.47	7.80	0.78	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	12.38%	5.67%	199.10%	0.00%	-100.00%	-68.33%	900.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.36%	3.31%	2.32%	0.79%	0.00%	0.65%	1.18%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	53,063.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	28,120.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)	24,943.28

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	10,612.69	6,632.93	3,979.76
Cash Retained (M)	24,943.28	24,943.28	24,943.28
(-) Cash Required (M)	-10,612.69	-6,632.93	-3,979.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)	14,330.59	18,310.35	20,963.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,923.03	1,923.03	1,923.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share	7.45	9.52	10.90
LTM Dividend per Share	14.62	14.62	14.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share	7.45	9.52	10.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend	22.07	24.14	25.52
WACC / Discount Rate	7.22%	7.22%	7.22%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$234.53	$290.64	$353.31
Upside / Downside	-70.31%	-63.21%	-55.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	53,063.45	52,532.81	52,007.48	51,487.41	50,972.54	50,462.81	51,976.69
Payout Ratio	52.99%	60.39%	67.80%	75.20%	82.60%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	28,120.17	31,727.08	35,259.04	38,717.19	42,102.65	45,416.53	48,078.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.22%	7.22%	7.22%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	29,290.57	29,589.45	29,888.33
Year 2 PV (M)	30,051.48	30,667.90	31,290.59
Year 3 PV (M)	30,464.70	31,406.84	32,368.21
Year 4 PV (M)	30,584.41	31,851.99	33,158.57
Year 5 PV (M)	30,458.07	32,044.09	33,695.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)	763,281.11	803,026.93	844,411.50
Equity Value (M)	914,130.34	958,587.21	1,004,812.71
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,923.03	1,923.03	1,923.03
Fair Value	$475.36	$498.48	$522.51
Upside / Downside	-39.83%	-36.90%	-33.86%

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PT Ifishdeco Tbk (IFSH.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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