DDM Analysis: HSP.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$7.89 - $12.21	$9.89
Multi-Stage	$10.31 - $11.25	$10.77
Blended Fair Value	$10.33
Current Price	$6.80
Upside	51.93%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	52.75%	3.24%	0.36	0.24	0.08	0.07	0.07	0.04	0.07	0.07	0.03	0.21
YoY Growth	-	-	52.86%	181.13%	18.56%	1.51%	60.79%	-37.40%	0.43%	118.42%	-84.79%	-20.81%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.34%	4.25%	2.15%	1.30%	1.83%	2.16%	3.04%	1.97%	0.95%	11.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	27.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	19.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)	7.14

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	5.41	3.38	2.03
Cash Retained (M)	7.14	7.14	7.14
(-) Cash Required (M)	-5.41	-3.38	-2.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1.74	3.76	5.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	33.09	33.09	33.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.05	0.11	0.15
LTM Dividend per Share	0.60	0.60	0.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.05	0.11	0.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.65	0.71	0.76
WACC / Discount Rate	9.86%	9.86%	9.86%
Growth Rate	1.45%	2.45%	3.45%
Fair Value	$7.89	$9.89	$12.21
Upside / Downside	16.02%	45.45%	79.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	27.03	27.69	28.37	29.07	29.78	30.51	31.43
Payout Ratio	73.58%	76.86%	80.15%	83.43%	86.72%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	19.89	21.29	22.74	24.25	25.83	27.46	29.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.86%	9.86%	9.86%
Growth Rate	1.45%	2.45%	3.45%
Year 1 PV (M)	19.19	19.38	19.57
Year 2 PV (M)	18.48	18.84	19.21
Year 3 PV (M)	17.76	18.29	18.83
Year 4 PV (M)	17.05	17.73	18.43
Year 5 PV (M)	16.34	17.16	18.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)	252.31	264.99	278.18
Equity Value (M)	341.13	356.40	372.24
Shares Outstanding (M)	33.09	33.09	33.09
Fair Value	$10.31	$10.77	$11.25
Upside / Downside	51.62%	58.41%	65.45%

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Hargreaves Services Plc (HSP.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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