Definitive Analysis
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Helbor Empreendimentos S.A. (HBOR3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.79 - $4.27$3.49
Multi-Stage$6.46 - $7.11$6.78
Blended Fair Value$5.13
Current Price$3.77
Upside36.14%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-21.15%0.090.090.180.050.000.000.000.000.120.75
YoY Growth---0.40%-49.44%280.76%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-83.66%-23.00%
Dividend Yield--5.03%3.05%8.86%1.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.06%10.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.305.193.11
Cash Retained (M)28.0928.0928.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.30-5.19-3.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.7922.9024.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)132.73132.73132.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.170.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.170.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.250.270.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-2.32%-1.32%-0.32%
Fair Value$2.79$3.49$4.27
Upside / Downside-25.88%-7.52%13.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41.5140.9640.4239.8939.3638.8440.01
Payout Ratio32.33%43.87%55.40%66.93%78.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.4217.9722.3926.7030.8834.9637.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-2.32%-1.32%-0.32%
Year 1 PV (M)16.7116.8817.05
Year 2 PV (M)19.3719.7720.17
Year 3 PV (M)21.4822.1522.83
Year 4 PV (M)23.1124.0725.07
Year 5 PV (M)24.3325.6026.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)751.97791.26832.17
Equity Value (M)856.98899.74944.22
Shares Outstanding (M)132.73132.73132.73
Fair Value$6.46$6.78$7.11
Upside / Downside71.26%79.81%88.70%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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