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Definitive Analysis

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Elton International Trading Company S.A. (ELTON.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.62 - $24.33$22.78
Multi-Stage$25.08 - $27.73$26.38
Blended Fair Value$24.58
Current Price$1.75
Upside1,304.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.120.100.080.040.060.040.080.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%20.13%25.02%100.26%-33.50%50.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%5.61%4.42%4.37%2.87%3.45%3.28%5.88%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.700.440.26
Cash Retained (M)2.982.982.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.70-0.44-0.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.272.542.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.7326.7326.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.12
WACC / Discount Rate-14.26%-14.26%-14.26%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$20.62$22.78$24.33
Upside / Downside1,078.21%1,201.81%1,290.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3.513.483.443.413.383.343.44
Payout Ratio15.29%30.23%45.18%60.12%75.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.541.051.562.052.533.013.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-14.26%-14.26%-14.26%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1.211.231.24
Year 2 PV (M)2.072.122.16
Year 3 PV (M)3.163.253.35
Year 4 PV (M)4.504.694.88
Year 5 PV (M)6.176.496.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)653.29687.31722.73
Equity Value (M)670.41705.08741.19
Shares Outstanding (M)26.7326.7326.73
Fair Value$25.08$26.38$27.73
Upside / Downside1,333.38%1,407.53%1,484.72%

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