DDM Analysis: ELIN.AT

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$34.84 - $79.07	$74.10
Multi-Stage	$11.70 - $12.81	$12.25
Blended Fair Value	$43.18
Current Price	$2.17
Upside	1,889.64%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	16.65%	0.00%	0.11	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.00	0.05	0.06	0.05	0.16	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-16.67%	15.38%	-67.66%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.98%	0.00%	3.51%	0.00%	0.00%	3.42%	3.51%	3.25%	21.35%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	9.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6.87

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1.89	1.18	0.71
Cash Retained (M)	6.87	6.87	6.87
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1.89	-1.18	-0.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)	4.98	5.69	6.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	23.71	23.71	23.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.21	0.24	0.26
LTM Dividend per Share	0.11	0.11	0.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.21	0.24	0.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.32	0.35	0.37
WACC / Discount Rate	6.46%	6.46%	6.46%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$34.84	$74.10	$79.07
Upside / Downside	1,505.41%	3,314.86%	3,543.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	9.43	10.04	10.69	11.39	12.13	12.92	13.31
Payout Ratio	27.16%	39.73%	52.30%	64.86%	77.43%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2.56	3.99	5.59	7.39	9.39	11.63	12.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.46%	6.46%	6.46%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	3.71	3.75	3.78
Year 2 PV (M)	4.84	4.93	5.03
Year 3 PV (M)	5.95	6.12	6.30
Year 4 PV (M)	7.04	7.31	7.59
Year 5 PV (M)	8.11	8.50	8.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)	247.87	259.84	272.27
Equity Value (M)	277.52	290.46	303.87
Shares Outstanding (M)	23.71	23.71	23.71
Fair Value	$11.70	$12.25	$12.81
Upside / Downside	439.29%	464.42%	490.50%

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Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A. (ELIN.AT)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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