DDM Analysis: ELHA.AT

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$57.24 - $67.44	$63.20
Multi-Stage	$20.78 - $22.79	$21.77
Blended Fair Value	$42.48
Current Price	$2.49
Upside	1,606.09%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.92%	111.75%	0.04	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-33.33%	100.00%	20.00%	-16.67%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-28.07%	2,791.75%	2,685.95%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.90%	3.18%	1.82%	1.43%	1.35%	3.15%	0.00%	0.80%	3.29%	0.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	127.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	15.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)	112.16

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	25.44	15.90	9.54
Cash Retained (M)	112.16	112.16	112.16
(-) Cash Required (M)	-25.44	-15.90	-9.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)	86.73	96.27	102.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	375.06	375.06	375.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.23	0.26	0.27
LTM Dividend per Share	0.04	0.04	0.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.23	0.26	0.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.27	0.30	0.31
WACC / Discount Rate	4.70%	4.70%	4.70%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$57.24	$63.20	$67.44
Upside / Downside	2,198.71%	2,438.05%	2,608.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	127.18	135.45	144.25	153.63	163.61	174.25	179.47
Payout Ratio	11.81%	27.44%	43.08%	58.72%	74.36%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	15.02	37.17	62.15	90.21	121.66	156.82	166.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.70%	4.70%	4.70%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	35.17	35.50	35.84
Year 2 PV (M)	55.64	56.69	57.76
Year 3 PV (M)	76.41	78.60	80.84
Year 4 PV (M)	97.50	101.25	105.11
Year 5 PV (M)	118.91	124.65	130.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,409.04	7,766.90	8,138.45
Equity Value (M)	7,792.66	8,163.60	8,548.61
Shares Outstanding (M)	375.06	375.06	375.06
Fair Value	$20.78	$21.77	$22.79
Upside / Downside	734.42%	774.13%	815.36%

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Elvalhalcor Hellenic Copper and Aluminium Industry S.A. (ELHA.AT)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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