Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Carsurin Tbk (CRSN.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$87.84 - $135.78$110.09
Multi-Stage$195.91 - $215.86$205.69
Blended Fair Value$157.89
Current Price$105.00
Upside50.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%2.350.003.720.730.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%411.90%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)27,376.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,796.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,580.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,475.373,422.102,053.26
Cash Retained (M)20,580.6320,580.6320,580.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,475.37-3,422.10-2,053.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)15,105.2617,158.5318,527.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,892.002,892.002,892.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.225.936.41
LTM Dividend per Share2.352.352.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.225.936.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.578.288.76
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$87.84$110.09$135.78
Upside / Downside-16.34%4.84%29.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)27,376.8327,103.0626,832.0326,563.7126,298.0726,035.0926,816.14
Payout Ratio24.82%37.86%50.89%63.93%76.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,796.2010,261.1413,656.1016,982.1420,240.2923,431.5824,804.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)9,542.129,639.499,736.86
Year 2 PV (M)11,809.3312,051.5712,296.26
Year 3 PV (M)13,656.5214,078.8614,509.82
Year 4 PV (M)15,136.0915,763.4116,410.03
Year 5 PV (M)16,294.7617,143.2618,026.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)500,137.69526,181.02553,298.14
Equity Value (M)566,576.52594,857.62624,277.86
Shares Outstanding (M)2,892.002,892.002,892.00
Fair Value$195.91$205.69$215.86
Upside / Downside86.58%95.90%105.58%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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