DDM Analysis: CRC-R.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$11.14 - $17.39	$14.02
Multi-Stage	$26.70 - $29.40	$28.02
Blended Fair Value	$21.02
Current Price	$21.90
Upside	-4.01%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-31.93%	0.00%	0.55	0.48	0.30	0.40	2.04	3.79	0.39	0.35	0.30	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	14.58%	60.00%	-25.00%	-80.21%	-46.30%	875.84%	10.00%	17.37%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.22%	1.37%	0.68%	1.01%	5.46%	13.54%	0.92%	0.84%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	6,957.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3,618.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,339.23

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,391.55	869.72	521.83
Cash Retained (M)	3,339.23	3,339.23	3,339.23
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,391.55	-869.72	-521.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,947.68	2,469.51	2,817.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	5,987.29	5,987.29	5,987.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.33	0.41	0.47
LTM Dividend per Share	0.60	0.60	0.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.33	0.41	0.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.93	1.02	1.07
WACC / Discount Rate	6.18%	6.18%	6.18%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$11.14	$14.02	$17.39
Upside / Downside	-49.14%	-35.98%	-20.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	6,957.76	6,888.18	6,819.30	6,751.11	6,683.60	6,616.76	6,815.26
Payout Ratio	52.01%	59.61%	67.20%	74.80%	82.40%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3,618.53	4,105.74	4,582.86	5,050.02	5,507.38	5,955.08	6,304.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.18%	6.18%	6.18%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,827.71	3,866.77	3,905.83
Year 2 PV (M)	3,983.19	4,064.90	4,147.43
Year 3 PV (M)	4,092.00	4,218.55	4,347.68
Year 4 PV (M)	4,160.40	4,332.83	4,510.56
Year 5 PV (M)	4,193.97	4,412.36	4,639.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)	139,609.19	146,878.96	154,448.47
Equity Value (M)	159,866.47	167,774.37	175,999.73
Shares Outstanding (M)	5,987.29	5,987.29	5,987.29
Fair Value	$26.70	$28.02	$29.40
Upside / Downside	21.92%	27.95%	34.23%

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Central Retail Corporation Public Company Limited (CRC-R.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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