DDM Analysis: CCEC

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$481.83 - $1,143.83	$1,071.93
Multi-Stage	$165.64 - $181.44	$173.40
Blended Fair Value	$622.67
Current Price	$19.96
Upside	3,019.57%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	8.10%	-10.37%	0.69	0.25	0.25	0.16	0.35	0.47	1.06	1.04	1.37	2.46
YoY Growth	-	-	181.00%	-1.00%	59.66%	-55.41%	-25.45%	-55.80%	1.91%	-24.17%	-44.37%	19.27%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.77%	1.73%	1.82%	0.97%	4.30%	3.48%	7.24%	4.42%	6.16%	6.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	281.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	41.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)	239.82

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	56.26	35.16	21.10
Cash Retained (M)	239.82	239.82	239.82
(-) Cash Required (M)	-56.26	-35.16	-21.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)	183.56	204.66	218.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	48.91	48.91	48.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.75	4.18	4.47
LTM Dividend per Share	0.85	0.85	0.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.75	4.18	4.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.60	5.03	5.32
WACC / Discount Rate	6.51%	6.51%	6.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$481.83	$1,071.93	$1,143.83
Upside / Downside	2,313.99%	5,270.41%	5,630.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	281.31	299.59	319.07	339.80	361.89	385.41	396.98
Payout Ratio	14.75%	29.80%	44.85%	59.90%	74.95%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	41.49	89.27	143.10	203.54	271.24	346.87	367.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.51%	6.51%	6.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	83.03	83.82	84.61
Year 2 PV (M)	123.79	126.14	128.53
Year 3 PV (M)	163.76	168.47	173.26
Year 4 PV (M)	202.97	210.78	218.81
Year 5 PV (M)	241.43	253.09	265.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,286.68	7,638.62	8,004.04
Equity Value (M)	8,101.66	8,480.92	8,874.43
Shares Outstanding (M)	48.91	48.91	48.91
Fair Value	$165.64	$173.40	$181.44
Upside / Downside	729.88%	768.72%	809.03%

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WLFC	Willis Lease Finance Corporation	0.99%	$1.32	7.58%
WOR	Worthington Industries, Inc.	0.99%	$0.52	23.95%
CNXN	PC Connection, Inc.	0.98%	$0.56	16.89%
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RRX	Regal Rexnord Corporation	0.95%	$1.39	36.07%
WT	WisdomTree, Inc.	0.95%	$0.12	18.12%
J	Jacobs Solutions Inc.	0.94%	$1.27	53.80%
ORCL	Oracle Corporation	0.94%	$1.84	34.81%
TCBS	Texas Community Bancshares, Inc.	0.94%	$0.17	19.22%
IMKTA	Ingles Markets, Incorporated	0.93%	$0.65	14.68%
ODC	Oil-Dri Corporation of America	0.93%	$0.45	12.28%
PENG	Penguin Solutions, Inc.	0.93%	$0.19	40.17%
SSBK	Southern States Bancshares, Inc.	0.93%	$0.34	9.19%
DAL	Delta Air Lines, Inc.	0.92%	$0.63	8.94%
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JBHT	J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.	0.89%	$1.75	30.14%
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VBFC	Village Bank and Trust Financial Corp.	0.89%	$0.72	15.35%
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BBSI	Barrett Business Services, Inc.	0.86%	$0.31	15.02%
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Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. (CCEC)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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