Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $30,407.13 - $109,727.12 | $96,746.41 |
| Multi-Stage | $14,451.93 - $15,781.49 | $15,104.65 |
| Blended Fair Value | $55,925.53 | |
| Current Price | $4,400.00 | |
| Upside | 1,171.03% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 24.03% | 19.72% | 353.96 | 264.67 | 180.18 | 110.05 | 177.49 | 120.61 | 99.51 | 66.57 | 65.36 | 53.23 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 33.74% | 46.89% | 63.72% | -38.00% | 47.17% | 21.20% | 49.49% | 1.84% | 22.80% | -9.03% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 6.81% | 3.84% | 3.49% | 2.79% | 5.77% | 5.15% | 2.68% | 1.73% | 2.23% | 2.07% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 51,495,530.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 43,510,539.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 7,984,991.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 10,299,106.00 | 6,436,941.25 | 3,862,164.75 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 7,984,991.00 | 7,984,991.00 | 7,984,991.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -10,299,106.00 | -6,436,941.25 | -3,862,164.75 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -2,314,115.00 | 1,548,049.75 | 4,122,826.25 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 93,333.11 | 93,333.11 | 93,333.11 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | -24.79 | 16.59 | 44.17 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 466.19 | 466.19 | 466.19 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | -24.79 | 16.59 | 44.17 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 441.39 | 482.77 | 510.36 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $30,407.13 | $96,746.41 | $109,727.12 |
| Upside / Downside | 591.07% | 2,098.78% | 2,393.80% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 51,495,530.00 | 54,842,739.45 | 58,407,517.51 | 62,204,006.15 | 66,247,266.55 | 70,553,338.88 | 72,669,939.04 |
| Payout Ratio | 84.49% | 85.60% | 86.70% | 87.80% | 88.90% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 43,510,539.00 | 46,942,672.33 | 50,637,150.96 | 54,613,579.03 | 58,893,000.78 | 63,498,004.99 | 67,219,693.62 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 43,446,948.67 | 43,858,768.09 | 44,270,587.51 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 43,376,270.22 | 44,202,466.34 | 45,036,456.75 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 43,298,719.52 | 44,541,670.16 | 45,808,183.14 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 43,214,507.70 | 44,876,415.71 | 46,585,803.27 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 43,123,841.24 | 45,206,738.90 | 47,369,353.95 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 1,132,383,081.15 | 1,187,077,607.39 | 1,243,865,421.89 |
| Equity Value (M) | 1,348,843,368.50 | 1,409,763,666.58 | 1,472,935,806.50 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 93,333.11 | 93,333.11 | 93,333.11 |
| Fair Value | $14,451.93 | $15,104.65 | $15,781.49 |
| Upside / Downside | 228.45% | 243.29% | 258.67% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXPD | Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. | 0.99% | $1.50 | 24.32% |
| LISOX | Lazard International Strategic Equity Ptf Open Shares | 0.99% | $0.13 | 36.87% |
| MXC | Mexco Energy Corporation | 0.99% | $0.10 | 12.25% |
| NIC | Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. | 0.99% | $1.19 | 12.58% |
| PAYC | Paycom Software, Inc. | 0.99% | $1.51 | 18.80% |
| RRC | Range Resources Corporation | 0.99% | $0.35 | 14.60% |
| WLFC | Willis Lease Finance Corporation | 0.99% | $1.32 | 7.58% |
| WOR | Worthington Industries, Inc. | 0.99% | $0.52 | 23.95% |
| CNXN | PC Connection, Inc. | 0.98% | $0.56 | 16.89% |
| CAT | Caterpillar Inc. | 0.97% | $5.78 | 29.40% |
| CNK | Cinemark Holdings, Inc. | 0.97% | $0.23 | 18.28% |
| ECL | Ecolab Inc. | 0.97% | $2.54 | 36.57% |
| EVR | Evercore Inc. | 0.97% | $3.41 | 27.02% |
| LSBK | Lake Shore Bancorp, Inc. | 0.96% | $0.14 | 24.34% |
| 0ITL.L | Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 0.95% | $2.42 | 39.43% |
| 0IZI.L | W.W. Grainger, Inc. | 0.95% | $9.52 | 26.47% |
| 0L5V.L | The Sherwin-Williams Company | 0.95% | $3.11 | 30.09% |
| 0R2S.L | Stryker Corporation | 0.95% | $3.28 | 43.09% |
| RRX | Regal Rexnord Corporation | 0.95% | $1.39 | 36.07% |
| WT | WisdomTree, Inc. | 0.95% | $0.12 | 18.12% |
| J | Jacobs Solutions Inc. | 0.94% | $1.27 | 53.80% |
| ORCL | Oracle Corporation | 0.94% | $1.84 | 34.81% |
| TCBS | Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. | 0.94% | $0.17 | 19.22% |
| IMKTA | Ingles Markets, Incorporated | 0.93% | $0.65 | 14.68% |
| ODC | Oil-Dri Corporation of America | 0.93% | $0.45 | 12.28% |
| PENG | Penguin Solutions, Inc. | 0.93% | $0.19 | 40.17% |
| SSBK | Southern States Bancshares, Inc. | 0.93% | $0.34 | 9.19% |
| DAL | Delta Air Lines, Inc. | 0.92% | $0.63 | 8.94% |
| HIFS | Hingham Institution for Savings | 0.92% | $2.49 | 12.15% |
| RL | Ralph Lauren Corporation | 0.92% | $3.34 | 24.37% |
| OPY | Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. | 0.91% | $0.66 | 8.90% |
| BGC | BGC Group, Inc | 0.90% | $0.08 | 23.56% |
| CDRE | Cadre Holdings, Inc. | 0.90% | $0.37 | 33.35% |
| MBNKP | Medallion Bank | 0.90% | $0.23 | 12.50% |
| JBHT | J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | 0.89% | $1.75 | 30.14% |
| NYT | The New York Times Company | 0.89% | $0.62 | 30.32% |
| RMD | ResMed Inc. | 0.89% | $2.18 | 22.31% |
| VBFC | Village Bank and Trust Financial Corp. | 0.89% | $0.72 | 15.35% |
| 0I14.L | Cognex Corporation | 0.88% | $0.32 | 49.16% |
| AR | Antero Resources Corporation | 0.88% | $0.30 | 17.15% |
| LDOS | Leidos Holdings, Inc. | 0.88% | $1.61 | 14.88% |
| LMAT | LeMaitre Vascular, Inc. | 0.88% | $0.70 | 32.20% |
| NNI | Nelnet, Inc. | 0.88% | $1.14 | 9.52% |
| PFSI | PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. | 0.88% | $1.16 | 12.49% |
| SMBK | SmartFinancial, Inc. | 0.88% | $0.32 | 11.76% |
| BYD | Boyd Gaming Corporation | 0.87% | $0.75 | 3.22% |
| ROST | Ross Stores, Inc. | 0.87% | $1.59 | 24.85% |
| BBSI | Barrett Business Services, Inc. | 0.86% | $0.31 | 15.02% |
| BCO | The Brink's Company | 0.86% | $1.00 | 24.81% |
| HXL | Hexcel Corporation | 0.86% | $0.66 | 77.18% |