DDM Analysis: BISI.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$287.13 - $403.25	$344.84
Multi-Stage	$889.88 - $983.04	$935.51
Blended Fair Value	$640.17
Current Price	$875.00
Upside	-26.84%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-4.36%	20.89%	80.00	68.00	68.00	38.00	38.00	100.00	100.00	88.00	33.00	21.00
YoY Growth	-	-	17.65%	0.00%	78.95%	0.00%	-62.00%	0.00%	13.64%	166.67%	57.14%	75.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.48%	3.51%	3.99%	2.86%	3.36%	16.13%	7.19%	4.46%	1.76%	1.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	144,541.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	84,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	60,541.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	28,908.20	18,067.63	10,840.58
Cash Retained (M)	60,541.00	60,541.00	60,541.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-28,908.20	-18,067.63	-10,840.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)	31,632.80	42,473.38	49,700.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,000.00	3,000.00	3,000.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	10.54	14.16	16.57
LTM Dividend per Share	28.00	28.00	28.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	10.54	14.16	16.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend	38.54	42.16	44.57
WACC / Discount Rate	6.20%	6.20%	6.20%
Growth Rate	-6.36%	-5.36%	-4.36%
Fair Value	$287.13	$344.84	$403.25
Upside / Downside	-67.19%	-60.59%	-53.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	144,541.00	136,786.74	129,448.47	122,503.88	115,931.86	109,712.40	113,003.77
Payout Ratio	58.11%	64.49%	70.87%	77.25%	83.62%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	84,000.00	88,216.50	91,738.84	94,629.35	96,945.70	98,741.16	104,528.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.20%	6.20%	6.20%
Growth Rate	-6.36%	-5.36%	-4.36%
Year 1 PV (M)	82,184.91	83,062.62	83,940.34
Year 2 PV (M)	79,622.85	81,332.64	83,060.58
Year 3 PV (M)	76,516.06	78,993.85	81,524.56
Year 4 PV (M)	73,029.37	76,199.44	79,471.62
Year 5 PV (M)	69,296.21	73,076.43	77,019.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,288,988.97	2,413,856.77	2,544,115.45
Equity Value (M)	2,669,638.38	2,806,521.75	2,949,132.39
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,000.00	3,000.00	3,000.00
Fair Value	$889.88	$935.51	$983.04
Upside / Downside	1.70%	6.92%	12.35%

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PT BISI International Tbk (BISI.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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