DDM Analysis: AMRT.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$7,531.83 - $14,675.43	$13,753.03
Multi-Stage	$2,293.13 - $2,509.60	$2,399.38
Blended Fair Value	$8,076.20
Current Price	$1,930.00
Upside	318.46%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	61.14%	22.20%	28.68	24.06	18.78	9.30	19.41	2.64	5.77	4.35	4.35	3.85
YoY Growth	-	-	19.20%	28.12%	101.94%	-52.09%	635.23%	-54.25%	32.64%	0.00%	12.99%	-0.35%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.40%	0.83%	0.65%	0.61%	2.16%	0.33%	0.64%	0.71%	0.84%	0.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,064,186.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,416,401.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,647,785.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	612,837.20	383,023.25	229,813.95
Cash Retained (M)	1,647,785.00	1,647,785.00	1,647,785.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-612,837.20	-383,023.25	-229,813.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,034,947.80	1,264,761.75	1,417,971.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	41,524.50	41,524.50	41,524.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share	24.92	30.46	34.15
LTM Dividend per Share	34.11	34.11	34.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share	24.92	30.46	34.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend	59.03	64.57	68.26
WACC / Discount Rate	6.33%	6.33%	6.33%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$7,531.83	$13,753.03	$14,675.43
Upside / Downside	290.25%	612.59%	660.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,064,186.00	3,263,358.09	3,475,476.37	3,701,382.33	3,941,972.18	4,198,200.37	4,324,146.38
Payout Ratio	46.22%	54.98%	63.73%	72.49%	81.24%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,416,401.00	1,794,178.11	2,215,081.95	2,683,122.88	3,202,650.42	3,778,380.34	3,999,835.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.33%	6.33%	6.33%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,671,572.65	1,687,416.94	1,703,261.23
Year 2 PV (M)	1,922,689.72	1,959,311.56	1,996,278.88
Year 3 PV (M)	2,169,799.84	2,232,086.99	2,295,554.91
Year 4 PV (M)	2,412,950.14	2,505,745.40	2,601,191.74
Year 5 PV (M)	2,652,187.28	2,780,288.92	2,913,293.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)	84,391,944.67	88,468,107.15	92,700,273.96
Equity Value (M)	95,221,144.29	99,632,956.95	104,209,854.04
Shares Outstanding (M)	41,524.50	41,524.50	41,524.50
Fair Value	$2,293.13	$2,399.38	$2,509.60
Upside / Downside	18.82%	24.32%	30.03%

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PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk (AMRT.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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