DDM Analysis: 8869.KL

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4.49 - $10.34	$6.56
Multi-Stage	$3.25 - $3.54	$3.39
Blended Fair Value	$4.97
Current Price	$5.18
Upside	-3.98%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	22.20%	19.50%	0.07	0.07	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	17.05%	57.45%	138.46%	-37.99%	-16.67%	12.78%	67.17%	15.42%	20.12%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.39%	1.49%	1.23%	0.61%	0.32%	1.56%	1.37%	1.27%	1.23%	2.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,792.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	597.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,195.55

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	358.58	224.11	134.47
Cash Retained (M)	1,195.55	1,195.55	1,195.55
(-) Cash Required (M)	-358.58	-224.11	-134.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)	836.96	971.43	1,061.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	8,239.62	8,239.62	8,239.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.12	0.13
LTM Dividend per Share	0.07	0.07	0.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.12	0.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.17	0.19	0.20
WACC / Discount Rate	9.59%	9.59%	9.59%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$4.49	$6.56	$10.34
Upside / Downside	-13.38%	26.57%	99.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,792.92	1,909.46	2,033.57	2,165.76	2,306.53	2,456.45	2,530.15
Payout Ratio	33.32%	44.65%	55.99%	67.33%	78.66%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	597.37	852.66	1,138.62	1,458.15	1,814.40	2,210.81	2,340.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.59%	9.59%	9.59%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	770.72	778.03	785.33
Year 2 PV (M)	930.29	948.01	965.90
Year 3 PV (M)	1,076.87	1,107.78	1,139.28
Year 4 PV (M)	1,211.20	1,257.78	1,305.69
Year 5 PV (M)	1,334.00	1,398.43	1,465.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)	21,419.94	22,454.53	23,528.72
Equity Value (M)	26,743.02	27,944.56	29,190.25
Shares Outstanding (M)	8,239.62	8,239.62	8,239.62
Fair Value	$3.25	$3.39	$3.54
Upside / Downside	-37.34%	-34.53%	-31.61%

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Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad (8869.KL)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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