Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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halmek holdings Co.,Ltd. (7119.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$383.98 - $548.70$464.78
Multi-Stage$609.68 - $668.97$638.75
Blended Fair Value$551.77
Current Price$1,085.00
Upside-49.15%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)619.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)219.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)400.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)123.8077.3846.43
Cash Retained (M)400.00400.00400.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-123.80-77.38-46.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)276.20322.63353.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.0211.0211.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share25.0729.2932.09
LTM Dividend per Share19.8819.8819.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share25.0729.2932.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend44.9549.1651.97
WACC / Discount Rate9.47%9.47%9.47%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$383.98$464.78$548.70
Upside / Downside-64.61%-57.16%-49.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)619.00612.81606.68600.62594.61588.66606.32
Payout Ratio35.38%46.30%57.23%68.15%79.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)219.00283.75347.19409.33470.19529.80560.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.47%9.47%9.47%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)256.58259.20261.82
Year 2 PV (M)283.88289.71295.59
Year 3 PV (M)302.65312.01321.56
Year 4 PV (M)314.36327.39340.82
Year 5 PV (M)320.29336.97354.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,238.775,511.565,795.61
Equity Value (M)6,716.537,036.847,369.72
Shares Outstanding (M)11.0211.0211.02
Fair Value$609.68$638.75$668.97
Upside / Downside-43.81%-41.13%-38.34%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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