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Definitive Analysis

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Guangdong Weide Information Technology CO,.Ltd. (688171.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.57 - $0.77$0.67
Multi-Stage$1.01 - $1.12$1.06
Blended Fair Value$0.87
Current Price$55.58
Upside-98.44%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS-10.21%0.00%0.080.130.190.000.230.140.060.000.000.00
YoY Growth---38.38%-30.00%23,965.90%-99.67%71.23%142.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.44%0.76%0.78%0.00%0.66%0.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.231.390.83
Cash Retained (M)7.637.637.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.23-1.39-0.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.406.246.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)90.4890.4890.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.11
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate-6.26%-5.26%-4.26%
Fair Value$0.57$0.67$0.77
Upside / Downside-98.97%-98.79%-98.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11.1310.559.999.478.978.508.75
Payout Ratio31.47%43.17%54.88%66.59%78.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.504.555.486.307.027.658.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate-6.26%-5.26%-4.26%
Year 1 PV (M)4.104.144.19
Year 2 PV (M)4.444.544.64
Year 3 PV (M)4.604.754.90
Year 4 PV (M)4.614.815.02
Year 5 PV (M)4.524.775.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)69.4373.2277.16
Equity Value (M)91.7196.23100.93
Shares Outstanding (M)90.4890.4890.48
Fair Value$1.01$1.06$1.12
Upside / Downside-98.18%-98.09%-97.99%

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