Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Grade Upon Technology Corp (6739.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$77.10 - $109.16$92.93
Multi-Stage$119.19 - $130.62$124.79
Blended Fair Value$108.86
Current Price$859.00
Upside-87.33%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%1.740.870.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--101.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.82%0.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)275.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)116.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)158.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)55.0034.3820.63
Cash Retained (M)158.99158.99158.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-55.00-34.38-20.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)103.98124.61138.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.3023.3023.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.465.355.94
LTM Dividend per Share4.984.984.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.465.355.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.4410.3310.92
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$77.10$92.93$109.16
Upside / Downside-91.02%-89.18%-87.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)275.01272.26269.53266.84264.17261.53269.37
Payout Ratio42.19%51.75%61.31%70.88%80.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)116.02140.89165.26189.12212.49235.38249.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)126.79128.09129.38
Year 2 PV (M)133.83136.58139.35
Year 3 PV (M)137.83142.09146.44
Year 4 PV (M)139.36145.14151.09
Year 5 PV (M)138.92146.15153.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,100.832,210.222,324.13
Equity Value (M)2,777.562,908.273,044.07
Shares Outstanding (M)23.3023.3023.30
Fair Value$119.19$124.79$130.62
Upside / Downside-86.13%-85.47%-84.79%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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