DDM Analysis: 605599.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$87.23 - $207.12	$194.10
Multi-Stage	$31.10 - $34.00	$32.53
Blended Fair Value	$113.31
Current Price	$14.09
Upside	704.20%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	9.61%	0.00%	0.70	0.46	0.36	0.00	0.47	0.44	0.38	0.32	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	52.23%	27.75%	0.00%	-100.00%	5.80%	16.20%	18.39%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.92%	3.13%	3.50%	0.00%	3.24%	3.07%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	811.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	560.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	251.74

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	162.35	101.47	60.88
Cash Retained (M)	251.74	251.74	251.74
(-) Cash Required (M)	-162.35	-101.47	-60.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)	89.39	150.27	190.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	779.43	779.43	779.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.19	0.24
LTM Dividend per Share	0.72	0.72	0.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.19	0.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.83	0.91	0.96
WACC / Discount Rate	6.51%	6.51%	6.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$87.23	$194.10	$207.12
Upside / Downside	519.07%	1,277.57%	1,369.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	811.74	864.50	920.69	980.54	1,044.27	1,112.15	1,145.51
Payout Ratio	68.99%	73.19%	77.39%	81.60%	85.80%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	560.00	632.73	712.55	800.07	895.96	1,000.93	1,059.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.51%	6.51%	6.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	588.49	594.07	599.65
Year 2 PV (M)	616.39	628.13	639.99
Year 3 PV (M)	643.71	662.19	681.02
Year 4 PV (M)	670.46	696.25	722.77
Year 5 PV (M)	696.65	730.30	765.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)	21,024.71	22,040.21	23,094.57
Equity Value (M)	24,240.42	25,351.15	26,503.23
Shares Outstanding (M)	779.43	779.43	779.43
Fair Value	$31.10	$32.53	$34.00
Upside / Downside	120.72%	130.84%	141.33%

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Beijing Caishikou Department Store Co.,Ltd. (605599.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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