DDM Analysis: 603017.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.11 - $1.65	$1.37
Multi-Stage	$9.04 - $10.05	$9.54
Blended Fair Value	$5.45
Current Price	$10.30
Upside	-47.06%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-15.37%	-3.67%	0.13	0.34	0.29	0.67	0.44	0.30	0.31	0.14	0.18	0.14
YoY Growth	-	-	-61.56%	18.10%	-56.66%	50.25%	46.79%	-1.24%	123.80%	-22.73%	22.42%	-24.19%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.58%	4.05%	2.67%	6.44%	4.40%	2.81%	1.95%	1.03%	0.88%	0.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	40.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	32.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)	8.51

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	8.14	5.09	3.05
Cash Retained (M)	8.51	8.51	8.51
(-) Cash Required (M)	-8.14	-5.09	-3.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.37	3.42	5.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	271.61	271.61	271.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.01	0.02
LTM Dividend per Share	0.12	0.12	0.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.01	0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.12	0.13	0.14
WACC / Discount Rate	0.55%	0.55%	0.55%
Growth Rate	-9.23%	-8.23%	-7.23%
Fair Value	$1.11	$1.37	$1.65
Upside / Downside	-89.19%	-86.69%	-83.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	40.72	37.37	34.29	31.47	28.88	26.50	27.30
Payout Ratio	79.10%	81.28%	83.46%	85.64%	87.82%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	32.21	30.37	28.62	26.95	25.36	23.85	25.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	0.55%	0.55%	0.55%
Growth Rate	-9.23%	-8.23%	-7.23%
Year 1 PV (M)	29.88	30.21	30.53
Year 2 PV (M)	27.69	28.31	28.93
Year 3 PV (M)	25.65	26.51	27.39
Year 4 PV (M)	23.75	24.81	25.91
Year 5 PV (M)	21.97	23.21	24.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,325.82	2,456.79	2,593.60
Equity Value (M)	2,454.76	2,589.83	2,730.86
Shares Outstanding (M)	271.61	271.61	271.61
Fair Value	$9.04	$9.54	$10.05
Upside / Downside	-12.25%	-7.43%	-2.39%

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ARTS Group Co., Ltd (603017.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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