DDM Analysis: 601216.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$39.36 - $79.25	$74.27
Multi-Stage	$12.24 - $13.39	$12.81
Blended Fair Value	$43.54
Current Price	$5.23
Upside	732.43%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	48.50%	26.36%	0.34	0.19	0.18	0.34	0.39	0.05	0.22	0.04	0.04	0.04
YoY Growth	-	-	75.16%	8.28%	-47.50%	-13.15%	735.00%	-79.32%	483.17%	-14.15%	16.43%	19.23%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.11%	5.14%	3.91%	7.34%	7.35%	1.89%	5.48%	0.80%	0.92%	0.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,362.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,380.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,981.45

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	672.45	420.28	252.17
Cash Retained (M)	1,981.45	1,981.45	1,981.45
(-) Cash Required (M)	-672.45	-420.28	-252.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,309.00	1,561.17	1,729.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	8,437.62	8,437.62	8,437.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.16	0.19	0.20
LTM Dividend per Share	0.16	0.16	0.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.16	0.19	0.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.32	0.35	0.37
WACC / Discount Rate	6.35%	6.35%	6.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$39.36	$74.27	$79.25
Upside / Downside	652.61%	1,320.02%	1,415.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,362.25	3,580.79	3,813.54	4,061.42	4,325.42	4,606.57	4,744.77
Payout Ratio	41.07%	50.85%	60.64%	70.43%	80.21%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,380.79	1,820.98	2,312.55	2,860.34	3,469.57	4,145.91	4,388.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.35%	6.35%	6.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,696.10	1,712.18	1,728.26
Year 2 PV (M)	2,006.26	2,044.47	2,083.04
Year 3 PV (M)	2,311.32	2,377.67	2,445.27
Year 4 PV (M)	2,611.35	2,711.77	2,815.07
Year 5 PV (M)	2,906.41	3,046.79	3,192.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)	91,721.97	96,152.18	100,751.94
Equity Value (M)	103,253.40	108,045.05	113,016.12
Shares Outstanding (M)	8,437.62	8,437.62	8,437.62
Fair Value	$12.24	$12.81	$13.39
Upside / Downside	133.98%	144.84%	156.11%

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Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical Group Co.,Ltd. (601216.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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