DDM Analysis: 601058.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$92.19 - $225.39	$211.23
Multi-Stage	$32.97 - $36.08	$34.49
Blended Fair Value	$122.86
Current Price	$14.38
Upside	754.38%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	28.87%	15.16%	0.44	0.29	0.26	0.21	0.16	0.12	0.11	0.12	0.10	0.12
YoY Growth	-	-	50.42%	12.82%	20.70%	29.99%	33.50%	8.41%	-6.54%	22.18%	-15.57%	10.43%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.02%	1.90%	2.38%	2.16%	1.81%	3.26%	3.62%	4.02%	2.41%	3.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,690.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,578.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,112.45

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	738.15	461.35	276.81
Cash Retained (M)	2,112.45	2,112.45	2,112.45
(-) Cash Required (M)	-738.15	-461.35	-276.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,374.30	1,651.11	1,835.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,256.54	3,256.54	3,256.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.42	0.51	0.56
LTM Dividend per Share	0.48	0.48	0.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.42	0.51	0.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.91	0.99	1.05
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$92.19	$211.23	$225.39
Upside / Downside	541.08%	1,368.89%	1,467.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,690.77	3,930.67	4,186.17	4,458.27	4,748.05	5,056.68	5,208.38
Payout Ratio	42.76%	52.21%	61.66%	71.11%	80.55%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,578.32	2,052.25	2,581.12	3,170.08	3,824.69	4,551.01	4,817.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,908.23	1,926.31	1,944.40
Year 2 PV (M)	2,231.56	2,274.06	2,316.97
Year 3 PV (M)	2,548.41	2,621.57	2,696.11
Year 4 PV (M)	2,858.88	2,968.82	3,081.91
Year 5 PV (M)	3,163.06	3,315.84	3,474.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)	94,652.93	99,224.70	103,971.45
Equity Value (M)	107,363.06	112,331.30	117,485.29
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,256.54	3,256.54	3,256.54
Fair Value	$32.97	$34.49	$36.08
Upside / Downside	129.27%	139.88%	150.88%

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Sailun Group Co., Ltd. (601058.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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