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Definitive Analysis

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Ryobi Limited (5851.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,809.29 - $39,876.32$12,584.43
Multi-Stage$5,802.41 - $6,358.85$6,075.44
Blended Fair Value$9,329.93
Current Price$2,145.00
Upside334.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201820172016
DPS4.53%8.13%87.3459.9730.0610.1335.0769.9869.8249.9949.9939.98
YoY Growth--45.65%99.49%196.65%-71.10%-49.89%0.22%39.68%0.00%25.04%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.90%2.08%1.95%0.95%2.11%5.27%2.71%1.37%2.19%1.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,590.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,747.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,843.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,318.00823.75494.25
Cash Retained (M)3,843.003,843.003,843.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,318.00-823.75-494.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,525.003,019.253,348.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.3732.3732.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share78.0193.28103.46
LTM Dividend per Share84.8784.8784.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share78.0193.28103.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend162.88178.15188.32
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate3.87%4.87%5.87%
Fair Value$6,809.29$12,584.43$39,876.32
Upside / Downside217.45%486.69%1,759.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,590.006,911.007,247.657,600.687,970.928,359.198,609.97
Payout Ratio41.68%51.35%61.01%70.67%80.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,747.003,548.634,421.835,371.696,403.597,523.277,964.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate3.87%4.87%5.87%
Year 1 PV (M)3,304.753,336.573,368.38
Year 2 PV (M)3,834.953,909.143,984.05
Year 3 PV (M)4,338.564,465.084,594.03
Year 4 PV (M)4,816.565,004.745,198.38
Year 5 PV (M)5,269.855,528.465,797.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)166,249.34174,407.59182,883.03
Equity Value (M)187,814.01196,651.58205,824.98
Shares Outstanding (M)32.3732.3732.37
Fair Value$5,802.41$6,075.44$6,358.85
Upside / Downside170.51%183.24%196.45%

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