DDM Analysis: 5263.KL

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$9.14 - $41.91	$20.75
Multi-Stage	$6.20 - $6.79	$6.49
Blended Fair Value	$13.62
Current Price	$6.00
Upside	126.99%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.13%	-12.23%	0.09	0.05	0.07	0.04	0.05	0.07	0.07	0.05	0.06	0.05
YoY Growth	-	-	63.64%	-21.43%	75.00%	-15.79%	-32.22%	-6.77%	36.33%	-15.41%	20.06%	-83.64%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.03%	1.89%	4.20%	2.32%	2.63%	4.63%	3.86%	2.67%	3.69%	3.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	275.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	174.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)	100.75

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	55.05	34.41	20.64
Cash Retained (M)	100.75	100.75	100.75
(-) Cash Required (M)	-55.05	-34.41	-20.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)	45.70	66.34	80.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,293.66	1,293.66	1,293.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.05	0.06
LTM Dividend per Share	0.13	0.13	0.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.05	0.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.17	0.19	0.20
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	4.47%	5.47%	6.47%
Fair Value	$9.14	$20.75	$41.91
Upside / Downside	52.28%	245.83%	598.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	275.25	290.31	306.20	322.97	340.64	359.29	370.07
Payout Ratio	63.40%	68.72%	74.04%	79.36%	84.68%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	174.50	199.50	226.71	256.30	288.46	323.36	342.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	4.47%	5.47%	6.47%
Year 1 PV (M)	185.69	187.46	189.24
Year 2 PV (M)	196.40	200.18	204.00
Year 3 PV (M)	206.67	212.66	218.76
Year 4 PV (M)	216.49	224.90	233.55
Year 5 PV (M)	225.88	236.90	248.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)	6,991.49	7,332.56	7,686.81
Equity Value (M)	8,022.62	8,394.66	8,780.71
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,293.66	1,293.66	1,293.66
Fair Value	$6.20	$6.49	$6.79
Upside / Downside	3.36%	8.15%	13.13%

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Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263.KL)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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