Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

7-Eleven Malaysia Holdings Berhad (5250.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Grocery StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.18 - $0.26$0.22
Multi-Stage$0.32 - $0.35$0.33
Blended Fair Value$0.28
Current Price$2.00
Upside-86.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS2.02%0.00%0.030.050.030.020.020.020.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---50.04%104.70%62.50%-31.88%-2.36%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.35%2.72%1.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.013.762.25
Cash Retained (M)0.120.120.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.01-3.76-2.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)-5.90-3.64-2.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,109.321,109.321,109.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.020.020.03
WACC / Discount Rate9.55%9.55%9.55%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.18$0.22$0.26
Upside / Downside-90.80%-88.87%-86.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30.0629.7629.4629.1728.8828.5929.44
Payout Ratio99.62%97.69%95.77%93.85%91.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.9529.0728.2227.3726.5425.7327.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.55%9.55%9.55%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)26.2726.5426.81
Year 2 PV (M)23.0423.5123.99
Year 3 PV (M)20.2020.8221.46
Year 4 PV (M)17.7018.4319.19
Year 5 PV (M)15.5016.3117.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)250.58263.63277.21
Equity Value (M)353.28369.24385.80
Shares Outstanding (M)1,109.321,109.321,109.32
Fair Value$0.32$0.33$0.35
Upside / Downside-84.08%-83.36%-82.61%

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