DDM Analysis: 4887.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$834.99 - $1,322.82	$1,057.55
Multi-Stage	$1,785.97 - $1,963.03	$1,872.78
Blended Fair Value	$1,465.17
Current Price	$2,004.50
Upside	-26.91%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.54%	5.15%	50.87	47.72	47.71	47.71	47.70	49.53	47.69	40.17	40.17	33.94
YoY Growth	-	-	6.60%	0.02%	0.00%	0.02%	-3.69%	3.85%	18.74%	0.00%	18.35%	10.23%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.78%	2.15%	3.95%	3.48%	2.89%	2.73%	2.63%	2.21%	2.21%	1.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	9,883.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	6,340.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,543.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,976.60	1,235.38	741.23
Cash Retained (M)	3,543.00	3,543.00	3,543.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,976.60	-1,235.38	-741.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,566.40	2,307.63	2,801.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	119.33	119.33	119.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share	13.13	19.34	23.48
LTM Dividend per Share	53.13	53.13	53.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	13.13	19.34	23.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend	66.26	72.47	76.61
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	-1.30%	-0.30%	0.70%
Fair Value	$834.99	$1,057.55	$1,322.82
Upside / Downside	-58.34%	-47.24%	-34.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	9,883.00	9,853.44	9,823.96	9,794.57	9,765.28	9,736.06	10,028.15
Payout Ratio	64.15%	69.32%	74.49%	79.66%	84.83%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	6,340.00	6,830.45	7,317.90	7,802.38	8,283.89	8,762.46	9,276.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	-1.30%	-0.30%	0.70%
Year 1 PV (M)	6,347.28	6,411.59	6,475.90
Year 2 PV (M)	6,319.23	6,447.92	6,577.92
Year 3 PV (M)	6,260.99	6,453.23	6,649.36
Year 4 PV (M)	6,177.17	6,431.33	6,693.27
Year 5 PV (M)	6,071.83	6,385.71	6,712.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)	181,943.19	191,348.76	201,139.34
Equity Value (M)	213,119.68	223,478.54	234,248.22
Shares Outstanding (M)	119.33	119.33	119.33
Fair Value	$1,785.97	$1,872.78	$1,963.03
Upside / Downside	-10.90%	-6.57%	-2.07%

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Sawai Group Holdings Co., Ltd. (4887.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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