DDM Analysis: 4809.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$12,935.05 - $39,007.93	$36,555.08
Multi-Stage	$5,748.12 - $6,294.48	$6,016.26
Blended Fair Value	$21,285.67
Current Price	$1,989.00
Upside	970.17%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	4.65%	19.39%	63.43	63.05	61.12	54.19	53.81	50.53	48.42	43.22	38.12	27.34
YoY Growth	-	-	0.61%	3.15%	12.79%	0.72%	6.48%	4.37%	12.03%	13.38%	39.44%	153.57%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.19%	3.43%	3.14%	2.90%	3.31%	3.13%	2.29%	2.60%	1.50%	1.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,044.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	659.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,385.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	408.80	255.50	153.30
Cash Retained (M)	1,385.00	1,385.00	1,385.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-408.80	-255.50	-153.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)	976.20	1,129.50	1,231.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	10.39	10.39	10.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share	93.97	108.72	118.56
LTM Dividend per Share	63.43	63.43	63.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share	93.97	108.72	118.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend	157.40	172.15	181.99
WACC / Discount Rate	6.45%	6.45%	6.45%
Growth Rate	5.17%	6.17%	7.17%
Fair Value	$12,935.05	$36,555.08	$39,007.93
Upside / Downside	550.33%	1,737.86%	1,861.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,044.00	2,170.10	2,303.98	2,446.12	2,597.02	2,757.24	2,839.96
Payout Ratio	32.24%	43.79%	55.34%	66.90%	78.45%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	659.00	950.34	1,275.12	1,636.36	2,037.32	2,481.52	2,626.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.45%	6.45%	6.45%
Growth Rate	5.17%	6.17%	7.17%
Year 1 PV (M)	884.36	892.77	901.18
Year 2 PV (M)	1,104.20	1,125.30	1,146.60
Year 3 PV (M)	1,318.63	1,356.61	1,395.30
Year 4 PV (M)	1,527.75	1,586.69	1,647.32
Year 5 PV (M)	1,731.65	1,815.56	1,902.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)	53,150.05	55,725.44	58,399.72
Equity Value (M)	59,716.64	62,502.37	65,392.80
Shares Outstanding (M)	10.39	10.39	10.39
Fair Value	$5,748.12	$6,016.26	$6,294.48
Upside / Downside	189.00%	202.48%	216.46%

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Paraca Inc. (4809.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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