Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Jamjoom Pharmaceuticals Factory Company (4015.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$522.31 - $1,271.11$1,191.21
Multi-Stage$187.62 - $205.22$196.26
Blended Fair Value$693.74
Current Price$157.60
Upside340.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS20.34%0.00%3.101.002.131.621.301.231.430.000.000.00
YoY Growth--210.00%-52.95%31.28%25.00%5.43%-14.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.06%0.79%2.73%2.08%1.66%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)447.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)242.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)205.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)89.4755.9233.55
Cash Retained (M)205.13205.13205.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-89.47-55.92-33.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)115.67149.22171.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)69.9969.9969.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.652.132.45
LTM Dividend per Share3.463.463.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.652.132.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.115.595.91
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$522.31$1,191.21$1,271.11
Upside / Downside231.41%655.85%706.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)447.33476.41507.38540.36575.48612.89631.27
Payout Ratio54.14%61.31%68.49%75.66%82.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)242.20292.11347.48408.82476.66551.60583.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)271.62274.20276.77
Year 2 PV (M)300.45306.17311.95
Year 3 PV (M)328.69338.13347.74
Year 4 PV (M)356.36370.06384.16
Year 5 PV (M)383.46401.98421.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,490.4512,045.4412,621.67
Equity Value (M)13,131.0313,735.9814,363.51
Shares Outstanding (M)69.9969.9969.99
Fair Value$187.62$196.26$205.22
Upside / Downside19.05%24.53%30.22%

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