DDM Analysis: 3060.SR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3.79 - $5.23	$4.51
Multi-Stage	$12.03 - $13.29	$12.65
Blended Fair Value	$8.58
Current Price	$20.32
Upside	-57.78%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.03%	-9.77%	1.24	1.49	1.50	3.48	2.24	1.25	1.74	2.73	4.48	3.99
YoY Growth	-	-	-16.69%	-0.66%	-56.84%	55.75%	79.49%	-28.56%	-36.15%	-39.02%	12.42%	14.51%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.20%	5.04%	4.30%	8.26%	5.19%	4.85%	6.20%	8.33%	12.21%	8.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	110.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	79.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)	31.55

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	22.11	13.82	8.29
Cash Retained (M)	31.55	31.55	31.55
(-) Cash Required (M)	-22.11	-13.82	-8.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)	9.43	17.72	23.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	157.49	157.49	157.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.11	0.15
LTM Dividend per Share	0.50	0.50	0.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.11	0.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.56	0.61	0.65
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	-7.42%	-6.42%	-5.42%
Fair Value	$3.79	$4.51	$5.23
Upside / Downside	-81.37%	-77.78%	-74.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	110.57	103.48	96.84	90.62	84.81	79.36	81.74
Payout Ratio	71.47%	75.18%	78.88%	82.59%	86.29%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	79.03	77.79	76.39	74.84	73.18	71.43	75.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	-7.42%	-6.42%	-5.42%
Year 1 PV (M)	72.39	73.17	73.95
Year 2 PV (M)	66.14	67.58	69.03
Year 3 PV (M)	60.31	62.28	64.30
Year 4 PV (M)	54.87	57.28	59.77
Year 5 PV (M)	49.83	52.58	55.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,590.81	1,678.60	1,770.23
Equity Value (M)	1,894.36	1,991.50	2,092.74
Shares Outstanding (M)	157.49	157.49	157.49
Fair Value	$12.03	$12.65	$13.29
Upside / Downside	-40.81%	-37.77%	-34.61%

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Yanbu Cement Company (3060.SR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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