DDM Analysis: 301498.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$31.53 - $67.31	$44.86
Multi-Stage	$23.34 - $25.47	$24.38
Blended Fair Value	$34.62
Current Price	$93.93
Upside	-63.14%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019
DPS	47.84%	0.00%	0.42	0.00	0.03	0.05	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	11,247.14%	-87.35%	-38.83%	-17.00%	-3.08%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.47%	0.01%	0.05%	0.08%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	667.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	200.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)	466.89

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	133.46	83.41	50.05
Cash Retained (M)	466.89	466.89	466.89
(-) Cash Required (M)	-133.46	-83.41	-50.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)	333.42	383.47	416.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	400.31	400.31	400.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.83	0.96	1.04
LTM Dividend per Share	0.50	0.50	0.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.83	0.96	1.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.33	1.46	1.54
WACC / Discount Rate	9.96%	9.96%	9.96%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$31.53	$44.86	$67.31
Upside / Downside	-66.44%	-52.24%	-28.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	667.31	710.69	756.88	806.08	858.47	914.27	941.70
Payout Ratio	30.03%	42.03%	54.02%	66.01%	78.01%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	200.43	298.69	408.87	532.12	669.67	822.85	871.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.96%	9.96%	9.96%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	269.08	271.63	274.18
Year 2 PV (M)	331.82	338.14	344.52
Year 3 PV (M)	389.03	400.20	411.58
Year 4 PV (M)	441.05	458.02	475.46
Year 5 PV (M)	488.21	511.79	536.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,422.90	7,781.43	8,153.68
Equity Value (M)	9,342.10	9,761.21	10,195.70
Shares Outstanding (M)	400.31	400.31	400.31
Fair Value	$23.34	$24.38	$25.47
Upside / Downside	-75.15%	-74.04%	-72.88%

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Gambol Pet Group Co., Ltd. (301498.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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