Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shenzhen V&T Technologies Co., Ltd. (300484.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.43 - $5.94$4.51
Multi-Stage$3.55 - $3.87$3.71
Blended Fair Value$4.11
Current Price$22.00
Upside-81.32%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS197.36%18.71%0.160.360.260.070.000.000.100.150.080.02
YoY Growth---55.61%39.47%248.64%0.00%-100.00%-99.31%-33.33%100.00%212.00%-16.67%
Dividend Yield--0.81%2.42%1.81%0.59%0.00%0.01%0.76%0.74%0.21%0.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)54.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)33.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.826.764.06
Cash Retained (M)20.7420.7420.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.82-6.76-4.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.9313.9816.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)207.63207.63207.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.230.24
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate3.56%4.56%5.56%
Fair Value$3.43$4.51$5.94
Upside / Downside-84.39%-79.50%-73.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)54.0856.5559.1361.8364.6567.6069.63
Payout Ratio61.65%67.32%72.99%78.66%84.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)33.3438.0743.1648.6454.5260.8464.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate3.56%4.56%5.56%
Year 1 PV (M)34.3234.6534.99
Year 2 PV (M)35.0935.7736.45
Year 3 PV (M)35.6536.6937.75
Year 4 PV (M)36.0337.4438.90
Year 5 PV (M)36.2538.0439.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)560.26587.84616.49
Equity Value (M)737.60770.43804.47
Shares Outstanding (M)207.63207.63207.63
Fair Value$3.55$3.71$3.87
Upside / Downside-83.85%-83.13%-82.39%

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