DDM Analysis: 300387.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$7.57 - $24.17	$12.21
Multi-Stage	$5.02 - $5.48	$5.25
Blended Fair Value	$8.73
Current Price	$8.98
Upside	-2.79%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.10%	34.75%	0.06	0.12	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.06	0.05	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	-48.70%	149.33%	-0.31%	-0.38%	0.95%	5.16%	-19.73%	24.84%	49.91%	874.25%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.73%	1.92%	0.68%	0.48%	0.75%	0.65%	0.62%	0.74%	0.35%	0.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	82.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	32.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)	49.49

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	16.46	10.29	6.17
Cash Retained (M)	49.49	49.49	49.49
(-) Cash Required (M)	-16.46	-10.29	-6.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)	33.03	39.20	43.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	289.48	289.48	289.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.14	0.15
LTM Dividend per Share	0.11	0.11	0.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.14	0.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.23	0.25	0.26
WACC / Discount Rate	8.67%	8.67%	8.67%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$7.57	$12.21	$24.17
Upside / Downside	-15.71%	35.97%	169.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	82.29	87.63	93.33	99.40	105.86	112.74	116.12
Payout Ratio	39.86%	49.89%	59.92%	69.94%	79.97%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	32.80	43.72	55.92	69.52	84.66	101.46	107.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.67%	8.67%	8.67%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	39.85	40.23	40.61
Year 2 PV (M)	46.47	47.35	48.25
Year 3 PV (M)	52.66	54.18	55.72
Year 4 PV (M)	58.46	60.71	63.02
Year 5 PV (M)	63.87	66.95	70.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,192.57	1,250.17	1,309.98
Equity Value (M)	1,453.88	1,519.59	1,587.72
Shares Outstanding (M)	289.48	289.48	289.48
Fair Value	$5.02	$5.25	$5.48
Upside / Downside	-44.07%	-41.54%	-38.92%

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Hubei Forbon Technology Co.,Ltd. (300387.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener