DDM Analysis: 300257.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$33.14 - $81.16	$76.06
Multi-Stage	$12.20 - $13.34	$12.76
Blended Fair Value	$44.41
Current Price	$15.43
Upside	187.81%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	32.89%	9.01%	0.36	0.10	0.21	0.21	0.12	0.09	0.09	0.13	0.00	0.22
YoY Growth	-	-	257.89%	-52.82%	-0.64%	75.79%	40.55%	0.00%	-33.33%	4,652.06%	-98.74%	43.44%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.86%	0.74%	1.20%	1.51%	0.83%	0.88%	0.59%	0.82%	0.01%	1.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	404.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	343.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)	60.28

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	80.85	50.53	30.32
Cash Retained (M)	60.28	60.28	60.28
(-) Cash Required (M)	-80.85	-50.53	-30.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-20.56	9.75	29.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	990.54	990.54	990.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.01	0.03
LTM Dividend per Share	0.35	0.35	0.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.01	0.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.33	0.36	0.38
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$33.14	$76.06	$81.16
Upside / Downside	114.76%	392.92%	425.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	404.23	430.51	458.49	488.29	520.03	553.83	570.45
Payout Ratio	85.09%	86.07%	87.05%	88.03%	89.02%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	343.95	370.54	399.13	429.87	462.92	498.45	527.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	344.53	347.79	351.06
Year 2 PV (M)	345.06	351.63	358.27
Year 3 PV (M)	345.55	355.47	365.58
Year 4 PV (M)	346.00	359.31	372.99
Year 5 PV (M)	346.41	363.14	380.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)	10,360.82	10,861.25	11,380.84
Equity Value (M)	12,088.36	12,638.59	13,209.24
Shares Outstanding (M)	990.54	990.54	990.54
Fair Value	$12.20	$12.76	$13.34
Upside / Downside	-20.91%	-17.31%	-13.58%

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Kaishan Group Co., Ltd. (300257.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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