Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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YM Tech Co., Ltd. (273640.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,364.36 - $6,696.28$5,452.01
Multi-Stage$9,418.80 - $10,373.47$9,886.74
Blended Fair Value$7,669.37
Current Price$8,600.00
Upside-10.82%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%189.58407.72214.590.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---53.50%90.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.89%3.08%0.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,925.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,429.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,496.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)985.10615.69369.41
Cash Retained (M)3,496.263,496.263,496.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-985.10-615.69-369.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,511.162,880.583,126.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.2210.2210.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share245.70281.84305.94
LTM Dividend per Share139.84139.84139.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share245.70281.84305.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend385.54421.68445.78
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4,364.36$5,452.01$6,696.28
Upside / Downside-49.25%-36.60%-22.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,925.504,876.244,827.484,779.214,731.414,684.104,824.62
Payout Ratio29.02%41.21%53.41%65.61%77.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,429.232,009.682,578.373,135.483,681.204,215.694,462.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,865.211,884.241,903.27
Year 2 PV (M)2,220.992,266.552,312.57
Year 3 PV (M)2,506.732,584.252,663.36
Year 4 PV (M)2,731.452,844.662,961.35
Year 5 PV (M)2,903.183,054.353,211.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)84,037.3088,413.3192,969.76
Equity Value (M)96,264.86101,047.37106,022.07
Shares Outstanding (M)10.2210.2210.22
Fair Value$9,418.80$9,886.74$10,373.47
Upside / Downside9.52%14.96%20.62%

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